Seasonal Trends in Our Market

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June 14, 2018

A Look at Monthly Historical Data

May is a traditionally busy month and this May was no exception. Homeowners like the sales prices in their neighborhoods and are entering the contest, while buyers are ready to act. Our traditional selling season runs May through October and this uptick in activity had me looking back at historical data. The activity in May translates to more sales in June. While August is surprisingly slow, likely because buyers are on vacation and families head back to school. Below is a look at how our market plays out through the seasons. You can click here to view the numbers. 

  • Sales price to list price remains consistent across the board. Keep in mind this ratio does not take into account price reductions and is not computed off the original list price. You know you’ve priced right when showing activity is high. Once priced right, your property will sell around 95% of the list price. 
  • It’s always a good market in Carmel. Historical data suggests that June is the month with the highest number of sales, but the market in Carmel is consistently strong year round. What changes in Carmel more than anything is days on market, the average length of time it takes a house to sell. This number rises noticeably during the winter months.
  • The Carmel Valley market is seasonal. You may laugh, but we consider Carmel Valley’s weather seasonal. Average highs range from 62 degrees in December to 80 in September. Homes also photograph much better in the spring with blooming flowers and green mountains. And, it is a primary home market, versus a vacation homebuyer market like Carmel-by-the-Sea. Families are preoccupied with the holidays and don’t focus on real estate during these months. Therefore, the summer months have more sales and homes stay on the market considerably longer during the winter months.
  • You’ll see a spike of new listings in Carmel and Pebble Beach before the AT&T golf tournament in February and the Concours d’Elegance in August. Sellers tend to think the high tourist traffic will translate into sales but that doesn’t seem to be the case. If anything, people go home and then start searching for real estate online. 
  • There is much less inventory available in Carmel Valley. Carmel Valley inventory is consistently low while demand has increased. Carmel Valley Ranch, Bernardus and the numerous wineries have put Carmel Valley on the map, even for vacation home buyers. 
  • The estate section of Pebble Beach does have the most expensive real estate, but not on a price per square foot basis. Overall, the average sales price is highest in Pebble Beach, but when you are looking at price per square foot, Carmel-by-the-Sea has them beat. The average price per square foot in the country club and estate sections of Pebble Beach is $851.52 versus Carmel-by-the-Sea and Carmel Point’s average of  $1,283.17.

Modern Luxury in a Carmel Jewel Box

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Fourtané Jewelers Opens a Beautiful New Boutique

In late 2023 Fourtané Jewelers, owned by the Bonifas family, opened a second Carmel location just up the street on Ocean Avenue from their famous jewelry and watch salon in the historic Pine Inn. Known as a worldwide purveyor of rare vintage jewelry pieces and of the finest watch brands in the world, including Rolex, Patek Phillipe and Cartier, the new, two-story boutique focuses solely on jewelry. The Bonifas family also owns a Rolex Boutique in San Diego, which they are currently expanding.


The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Evolves

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The Tournament's Exciting Transformation

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Tournament Director and Monterey Peninsula Foundation CEO Steve John has played as an amateur in the legendary golf tournament nine times, and each time, his excitement never waned.

"It was truly a treasured invitation," he says. "It's impossible to play center fi eld in a professional baseball game, but you can be part of something special with the Pro-Am."

A mainstay of the Monterey Peninsula for almost 80 years, the tournament has been officially ...


The Before and After Series | Part Seventeen: Valley Estate Perfected

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It was the quintessential COVID sale.

I had been referred to potential buyers who were relocating to Carmel from Colorado. They were the type of buyers that could be successful in the crazy days of COVID. Decisive, ready and able. It was March, 2021 and a gorgeous four bedroom home on one of my favorite streets in Carmel Valley had just hit the market. I called my clients and the husband literally hoped on a flight the very next morning. He boarded a plane with only a cup of coffee in ...


A Primal Impression

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The Abstract Works and Social Commentary of Artist Michael Snodgrass

At Monica Graham Fine Art in Carmel-by-the-Sea, passerby often do a double take when noticing certain pieces through the window. The eye-catching work of artist Michael Snodgrass is a conversation starter due to the versatility and uniqueness of his style.


No Place Like Home

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Chrissy Handel's Heart is in the Local Community

Carmel Realty Company Realtor, Chrissy Handel, spent an idyllic childhood in Carmel barbecuing at
Carmel Beach with her family, running into her grandmother playing cards or lunching with her friends at ¬the Beach & Tennis Club at Pebble Beach Resorts and hiking in Big Sur on the weekends with her parents. Now she enjoys sharing many of the same activities with her son, Christopher, 14, and watching him thrive in the community she loves.


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